OECD-FAO agricultural outlook 2019-2028 : special focus; Latin America":

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Foreword Acknowledgements Abbreviations and acronyms Currencies Executive Summary Latin America and the Caribbean Chapter 1. Overview 1.1. Introduction 1.2. Prices 1.3. Consumption Drivers of agricultural commodity demand Global outlook for food use of agricultural commodities Population dynamics will shape the consumption of basic food commodities Per capita food consumption: Outlook and drivers Implications of changing incomes on diets Urbanisation-led changes in lifestyles contribute to demand for higher-calorie foods Policies seek to curb the consumption of sugar and fats Social factors drive product substitution for healthier and more sustainable alternatives Global outlook for feed demand Growth in feed demand will expand faster than meat production The changing structure of livestock production systems influences feed demand Drivers of biofuel demand: Policy changes and evolving fuel use 1.4. Production Agricultural production growth will lead to only minor shifts in global land use Higher crop production expected mostly through improved yields Growth in livestock production varies in intensity across regions Aquaculture expected to overtake capture fisheries in coming years Impact of policies on outlook Implications for greenhouse gas emissions 1.5. Trade Free trade agreements affect agricultural trade projections 1.6. Risks and uncertainties Sensitivity analysis Uncertainties to the projections Demand Supply International trade Data Notes Chapter 2. Latin American Agriculture: Prospects and Challenges 2.1. Introduction 2.2. Agricultural development Agricultural performance Changes in the structure of agricultural production Trends in rural population, rural poverty, and food security 2.3. Medium-term outlook Demand Production Cereals Oilseeds and vegetable oil Pulses Cotton Sugar Roots and tubers Coffee Fruits and vegetables Livestock Dairy Fisheries and aquaculture Trade 2.4. Strategic challenges and policy options Policy responses Raising productivity and the necessary enabling policy environment Agricultural research Investment in agriculture Agricultural credit and insurance Policy coherence and coordination Environmental and resource challenges Land Water Forests and deforestation Climate change Attaining sustainable agricultural growth while meeting climate change mitigation objectives Making agricultural growth more inclusive 2.5. Conclusion Note References Annex 2.A. The prevalence of obesity in Latin America and the Caribbean Chapter 3. Cereals 3.1. Market situation 3.2. Projection highlights 3.3. Prices 3.4. Production 3.5. Consumption 3.6. Trade 3.7. Main issues and uncertainties Chapter 4. Oilseeds and oilseed products 4.1. Market situation 4.2. Projection highlights 4.3. Prices 4.4. Oilseed production 4.5. Oilseed crush and production of vegetable oils and protein meal 4.6. Vegetable oil consumption 4.7. Protein meal consumption 4.8. Trade 4.9. Main issues and uncertainties Chapter 5. Sugar 5.1. Market situation 5.2. Projection highlights 5.3. Prices 5.4. Production 5.5. Consumption 5.6. Trade 5.7. Main issues and uncertainties Chapter 6. Meat 6.1. Market situation 6.2. Projection highlights 6.3. Prices 6.4. Production 6.5. Consumption 6.6. Trade 6.7. Main issues and uncertainties Notes Chapter 7. Dairy and dairy products 7.1. Market situation 7.2. Projection highlights 7.3. Prices 7.4. Production 7.5. Consumption 7.6. Trade 7.7. Main issues and uncertainties Note Chapter 8. Fish and seafood 8.1. Market situation 8.2. Projection highlights 8.3. Prices 8.4. Production 8.5. Consumption 8.6. Trade 8.7. Main issues and uncertainties Notes Chapter 9. Biofuels 9.1. Market situation 9.2. Projection highlights 9.3. Prices 9.4. Production and use United States The European Union Brazil China India Canada Indonesia Argentina Thailand Columbia Paraguay 9.5. Trade 9.6. Main issues and uncertainties Notes Chapter 10. Cotton 10.1. Market situation 10.2. Projection highlights 10.3. Prices 10.4. Production 10.5. Consumption 10.6. Trade 10.7. Main issues and uncertainties Notes Annex A. Glossary Annex B. Methodology The process of generating the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook Sources and assumptions for the macroeconomic projections The underlying Aglink-Cosimo model The methodology of stochastic simulations with Aglink-Cosimo Notes Annex C. Statistical Annex