ENGLISH

Developments in Demographic Forecasting

By Nico Keilman , Stefano Mazzuco

Book information

Publisher
Springer International Publishing;Springer
Year
2020
ISBN
9783030424718, 9783030424725
DOI
10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5
Language
english
Format
PDF
Filesize
10 MB (10292352 bytes)
Series
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis 49
Edition
1st ed.
Pages
VIII, 258\261
Time added
2021-01-06 05:41:07
and LawBehavorial ScienceEducationPublic PolicySocial Sciences; Demography; Statistics for Social

Description

This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.

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