China's Macroeconomic Outlook

Description

This report is a partial result of the China’s Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR, one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, has been focusing on China’s economic forecast and macroeconomic policy analysis, and it started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005.Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for China’ major macroeconomic variables. Since July, 2006, twenty-three quarterly reports on China’s macroeconomic outlook have been presented and twelfth annual reports have been published. This report, the twenty-fourth quarterly report, has been presented at the Forum on China’s Macroeconomic Outlook and Press Conference of CQMM on February 27, 2018. This conference was jointly held at Beijing, China by Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University, and Economic Information Daily at Xinhua News Agency. Front Matter ....Pages i-xix Review of China’s Macroeconomy in 2017 (Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University)....Pages 1-24 China’s Macroeconomic Forecast for 2018–2019 (Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University)....Pages 25-37 Policy Effect Simulation (Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University)....Pages 39-48 Policy Recommendations (Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University)....Pages 49-54 Comments and Discussions (Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University)....Pages 55-74 Questionnaire Survey on the Macroeconomy of China in 2018 (Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University)....Pages 75-82 Back Matter ....Pages 83-83