Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty
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Evolution and Cognition Gigerenzer Gerd Rationality for Mortals How People Cope with Uncertainty Oxford University Press (2008) Cover Page......Page 1 Title Page......Page 5 Copyright Page......Page 6 Preface......Page 8 Contents......Page 13 1. Bounded and Rational......Page 15 2. Fast and Frugal Heuristics......Page 46 3. Rules of Thumb in Animals and Humans......Page 94 4. I Think, Therefore I Err......Page 130 5. Striking a Blow for Sanity in Theories of Rationality......Page 158 6. Out of the Frying Pan into the Fire......Page 182 7. What’s in a Sample? A Manual for Building Cognitive Theories......Page 194 8. A 30 Percent Chance of Rain Tomorrow......Page 228 9. Understanding Risks in Health Care......Page 247 10. The Evolution of Statistical Thinking......Page 264 11. Mindless Statistics......Page 294 12. Children Can Solve Bayesian Problems......Page 331 13. In the Year 2054: Innumeracy Defeated......Page 367 Bibliography......Page 388 Name Index......Page 446 General Index......Page 472
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