Economic analysis and forecast of China (2015)

Description

This book provides a detailed and up-to- date analysis of the current and near-future domestic economic situation in China based on the concept of “New Normal”, which was first proposed by Chinese President Xi Jinping and which is commonly used in discussions on China’s current economy. China’s New Normal is the result of the growing pressures on domestic resources, environmental restrictions, and unstable international economic recovery and characterized by a moderate economic increase, a proper increase in commodity pricing, stabilizing new employment and optimizing economic structure. The book argues that while China focuses on stability and quality in macro-control and enhancing reform and innovation, many contradictions and problems in economic operations are gradually being solved, therefore optimizing the economic structure. The book explores many aspects of China’s economic development under the “New Normal” while making analysis and policy suggestions for the present economic trends. Front Matter ....Pages i-xxi Front Matter ....Pages 1-1 Economic Analysis and Forecast of China—2014 Autumn Report (“Economic Analysis and Forecast of China” Research Group)....Pages 3-24 Front Matter ....Pages 25-25 Analysis and Policy Suggestions for the Economic Trends at Present and in the Middle and Long Term (Liu Shucheng)....Pages 27-34 Analysis of the Macroeconomic Situation in 2014 and Prospects in 2015 (Fu Linghui)....Pages 35-44 Analysis of the “Issues of Agriculture, Farmer and Rural Area” Situation in 2014 (Li Zhou, Dang Guoying)....Pages 45-61 Analysis and Policy Suggestion of the Current Industrial Economic Situation (Yuan Lei, Jin Bei)....Pages 63-89 Predication of the Industrial Growth Rate in 2014 and Analysis and Report on the Industrial Prospect Index and the Early Warning Index (Xie Sanming)....Pages 91-108 Consequences of the Labor Market Which Surpassed Growth Capability (Cai Fang)....Pages 109-123 Front Matter ....Pages 125-125 Bottom of Downturn and Economic Transformation and Upgrading—Analysis and Prospect of Economic Situation from 2014 to 2015 (Zhang Liqun)....Pages 127-136 The Influence of the Adjustment of Childbearing Policy on the Potential Growth Rate (Cai Fang, Lu Yang)....Pages 137-147 Analytical Prediction of China’s Status of Tax Revenue in 2014 the Preliminary Outlook of 2015 (Fu Guangjun)....Pages 149-162 Front Matter ....Pages 163-163 The Trend and Characteristic of Our Economic Development Under the “New Normal” (Cai Jin, Wu Wei)....Pages 165-176 Operation of Monetary Finance Under the New Normal (Yan Xiandong, Ye Huan)....Pages 177-194 Analysis of China’s Foreign Trade Situation in 2014, and Its Prospects in 2015—Also a Discussion on the Priority in Foreign Development in the Transition Period (Jin Baisong, Liu Jianying)....Pages 195-234