Brexit and Beyond: Rethinking the Futures of Europe

Description

Brexit will have significant consequences for the country, for Europe, and for global order. And yet much discussion of Brexit in the UK has focused on the causes of the vote and on its consequences for the future of British politics. This volume examines the consequences of Brexit for the future of Europe and the European Union, adopting an explicitly regional and future-oriented perspective missing from many existing analyses. Drawing on the expertise of 28 leading scholars from a range of disciplines, Brexit and Beyond offers various different perspectives on the future of Europe, charting the likely effects of Brexit across a range of areas, including institutional relations, political economy, law and justice, foreign affairs, democratic governance, and the idea of Europe itself. Whilst the contributors offer divergent predictions for the future of Europe after Brexit, they share the same conviction that careful scholarly analysis is in need – now more than ever – if we are to understand what lies ahead for the EU. Front Cover......Page 1 Half-title......Page 2 Title page......Page 4 Imprint......Page 5 Dedication......Page 6 Acknowledgments......Page 8 Table of contents......Page 10 List of figures and tables......Page 13 List of abbreviations......Page 14 List of contributors......Page 16 Part One Actors and institutions......Page 38 1 Cameron’s European legacy......Page 41 2 Brexit and the improvised constitution......Page 47 The British constitution......Page 48 The intoxications of mandate theory......Page 50 The demands on Parliament......Page 51 The rule of law......Page 52 The plurality of the people......Page 53 Conclusions......Page 55 3 Is the EU ‘a crap 1950s idea’?......Page 56 Brexit and disaster-avoidance......Page 57 What disasters should we worry about?......Page 61 4 How British was the Brexit vote?......Page 65 The local story: Brexit as a British event......Page 66 The contagion story: Brexit as a boat on the global tide of populist anti-internationalism......Page 69 The EU’s many crises......Page 73 The eurozone crisis......Page 74 The migration crisis......Page 75 The EU governance crisis......Page 76 The impact of the crises on the Brexit process......Page 77 The ways in which the EU is structuring itself to conduct the Brexit negotiations......Page 78 The stances of the EU27 in the Brexit negotiations......Page 80 Conclusions......Page 81 Introduction......Page 82 The UK: an influential EU Member State......Page 83 The centrifugal trajectory......Page 85 The centripetal trajectory......Page 87 Conclusions......Page 89 7 Decentralised federalism......Page 91 1. Starting point: British voters have not gone mad......Page 100 3. Second message: Brexit weakens Brussels doctrine......Page 101 4. Battlefield: national elections......Page 102 6. Policies: the importance of borders......Page 103 7. The ‘We are Europe’ policy......Page 105 The road to Brexit......Page 107 David Cameron and renegotiation......Page 108 The economics of Brexit......Page 109 The clouds gather......Page 110 Germany’s lonely position......Page 111 Changing geopolitics......Page 112 Conclusions......Page 114 2017: a year of disruption......Page 116 Brexit and the EU in the 2017 French elections......Page 117 Sixty years of French engagement with the EU: at what cost?......Page 118 Towards a ‘political Europe’?......Page 119 Negotiating change …......Page 121 … Or change through disruption?......Page 122 Conclusions......Page 123 Introduction......Page 124 1. The EU and Northern Ireland......Page 125 2. Northern Ireland’s ‘hard border’ conundrum......Page 128 Conclusions......Page 131 12 Something new under the sun?......Page 133 Taking (back) control......Page 134 Undoing and reconnecting......Page 135 Incremental solutions......Page 136 Colonial legacies......Page 138 Conclusions......Page 139 Part Two Issues and policies......Page 140 13 What impact will Brexit have on the euro area?......Page 143 Relocation of financial services......Page 144 Refocusing the regulatory approach......Page 146 Strengthening of the euro vis-à-vis the pound......Page 148 Unlikely changes......Page 149 14 The Brexit iceberg......Page 151 An EU of discontent......Page 152 One market, many growth models......Page 153 The endurance of Member Statehood......Page 154 Conclusions......Page 156 15 The new crisis of ungovernability......Page 157 Introduction......Page 167 A Danish ‘adjustable bend’......Page 169 A Norwegian ‘anglers’ loop’......Page 170 Bespoke Brexit–Europol ‘tangles’......Page 171 ‘Now you can’t break the ties that bind’......Page 173 Introduction......Page 175 Ending free movement?......Page 176 Free movement and citizenship......Page 180 Conclusions......Page 183 Introduction......Page 184 A positivist and doctrinal reading......Page 185 Devolution......Page 187 The external constitution......Page 189 Conclusions......Page 191 Introduction......Page 193 The Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP)......Page 195 The Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP)......Page 197 The Area of Freedom, Security and Justice (AFSJ)......Page 199 Conclusions......Page 201 The historical background......Page 202 Enlargement......Page 204 Between Europe and globalism......Page 206 Some practical implications......Page 207 21 A speculation on the future of Europe......Page 212 The Trump factor......Page 213 The EU faces Brexit......Page 215 A British alternative?......Page 219 Introduction......Page 223 Identity politics......Page 224 Policy structure......Page 225 Political participation......Page 228 Conclusions......Page 229 Guardian of the long term: what future for the EU after Brexit?......Page 231 Institutions: democracy of a different kind......Page 235 Policies: sustainability across the board......Page 236 Structure: flexibility without fragmentation......Page 238 Conclusions......Page 239 24 Losing control......Page 241 25 The heart of the matter......Page 249 Emotions and decision-making......Page 250 Emotions, motivation and mobilisation......Page 252 Emotions and political representation......Page 254 Conclusions......Page 257 26 Square peg, round hole......Page 258 Hayek’s trap......Page 270 Thatcher’s plot......Page 273 Fair Brexit......Page 275 Understanding Brexit outside of Britain......Page 279 Brexit as a ‘wicked problem’......Page 280 The future of Europe......Page 283 Notes......Page 285 All URLs were live at 2 November 2017.......Page 292 Index......Page 310 Back Cover......Page 314