ENGLISH

Moods and Markets: A New Way to Invest in Good Times and in Bad

By Atwater , Peter;Prechter , Robert Rougelot

Book information

Publisher
Pearson Education;FT Press
ISBN
0132947218, 9780132947213, 9780132947251, 0132947250
Language
english
Format
AZW3
Filesize
1 MB (1572400 bytes)
Series
Minyanville Media
Pages
\0
Time added
2020-07-26 19:24:52
Business cycles;Investments--Psychological aspects

Description

New way to invest in good times and in bad. Foreword xixIntroduction 1Chapter 1 Understanding Social Mood 11Mood Defined 12Mood Versus Emotion 14Confidence and Our Perceptions of Certainty 15The Continuum of Social Mood 20Individual Versus Social Mood 24Measuring Mood 25Social Mood and the Media 28Mood Groups 31Final Thoughts 32Chapter 2 Horizon Preference: How Mood Affects Our Decision Making 33The Horizon Preference Continuum 35Logical Decision Making in Periods of Rising Social Mood 39Logical Decision Making in Periods of Falling Social Mood 45Opportunities During Declining Social Mood 50Final Thoughts 52Chapter 3 Market Peaks and All the Red Flags They Wave 55The Concept Stock Bubble 56Big Truths 58Abdication of Risk Management 59Organizational Complexity 61Novice and Naive Entrants 62Credit, Architecture, and Other Signs of the Top 63Why Investment Peaks Are Different 68After the Peak 70Final Thoughts 71Chapter 4 A Social Mood Journey Back Through the Housing Bubble 73Modern Housing Finance 75A Big Truth 78Abdication of Risk Management 78Organizational Complexity 80Novice and Naive Entrants 82Excessive Credit and Architecture 83Final Thoughts 84Chapter 5 Is Higher Education a Bubble? 85A Big Truth 85Abdication of Risk Management 88Organizational Complexity 91Naive and Novice Participants 91Excessive Credit 92Architecture 93Final Thoughts 95Chapter 6 Signs of a Bottom in Social Mood 99Extreme "Me, Here, Now" Behaviors 100Hoarding Behaviors 101Acts of Sacrifice 104Event Versus Cycle Lows 108The Market Low of 2002 109The Market Low of March 2009 110The Market Bottom of 1932 112Seeing Major Market Bottoms in Real Time 113Social Mood and Invention 115Final Thoughts 120Chapter 7 Cooking the Books: Corporate Earnings and Social Mood 121Mood-Driven Accounting Principles 122Mood-Driven Management Judgment 125Mood-Driven "One Time" Charges 130Final Thoughts 133Chapter 8 Social Mood and the Markets Today: So Where Are We? 135Modern Day Extremes in Social Mood 139Communication and Transportation Innovations and Peaks in Social Mood 1412000 to 2012: Deteriorating Mood 142Plotting Social Mood 145A Long-Term Perspective on Social Mood and Stock Multiples 148Social Mood and the Evolution of Major Corporations 150Peak Social Mood and Sovereign Debt 154Final Thoughts 156Chapter 9 Using Horizon Preference No Matter Your Long-Term View 159Final Thoughts 166Chapter 10 Final Thoughts 169Bibliography 171Index 175

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