China's Strategic Arsenal: Worldview, Doctrine, and Systems
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A critical look at how China’s growing strategic arsenal could impact a rapidly changing world order China’s strategic capabilities and doctrine have historically differed from the United States’ and Russia’s. China has continued to modernize and expand its arsenal despite its policy of no first use, while the United States and Russia have decreased deployed weapons stocks. This volume brings together an international group of distinguished scholars to provide a fresh assessment of China's strategic military capabilities, doctrines, and political perceptions in light of rapidly advancing technologies, an expanding and modernizing nuclear arsenal, and an increased great-power competition with the United States. Analyzing China's strategic arsenal is critical for a deeper understanding of China’s relations with both its neighbors and the world. Without a doubt, China’s arsenal is growing in size and sophistication, but key uncertainties also lie ahead. Will China’s new capabilities and confidence lead it to be more assertive and take more risks? Will China’s nuclear traditions change as the strategic balance improves? Will China’s approach to military competition be guided by a notion of strategic stability or not? Will there be a strategic arms race with the United States? China's Strategic Arsenal provides a current understanding of these issues as we strive for a stable strategic future with China. Cover Title Copyright Dedication Contents List of Illustrations TABLES 5.1 Estimated Chinese Nuclear Forces, Early 2020 5.2 PLARF Missile Force Structure, Early 2020 7.1 PLARF Bases and Brigades FIGURES 5.1 US Estimates of the Chinese Nuclear Weapons Stockpile 5.2 Estimated Locations of Chinese Medium- and Intermediate- Range Ballistic Missiles 5.3 Estimated Locations of Chinese Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles 7.1 PLA Organizational Structure Prior to 2016 Reforms 7.2 PLA Organizational Structure Post- 2016 Reforms 7.3 PLA Joint Theater Commands since 2016 Introduction 1 The US-Chinese Relationship and China as a Twenty-First-Century Strategic Power 2 China’s “Nested” Worldview 3 China’s Nuclear Doctrine and Deterrence Concept 4 Strategic Stability and the Impact of China’s Modernizing Strategic Strike Forces 5 China’s Strategic Systems and Programs 6 China’s Regional Nuclear Capability, Nonnuclear Strategic Systems, and Integration of Concepts and Operations 7 Organization of China’s Strategic Forces 8 China on Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Strategic Stability 9 China’s Strategic Future List of Contributors Index A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
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