Investing in the Trump Era
Book information
Description
In the wake of the 2016 U.S. presidential election, investors and the electorate alike are seeking clarity on a wide range of macro policy issues that will impact the economy and markets in the years ahead. The primary goal of this book is to provide an objective source for investors to learn about economic policy issues that surfaced. Topics include long-term growth, the federal budget deficit, healthcare reform, tax reform, regulatory policies affecting the financial system and environment, the nexus of monetary, exchange rate and trade policies, and globalization. The book explains how these issues have evolved, considers arguments from both sides of the political divide, and draws upon evidence from studies by experts in the respective areas. A related goal is to assess the likely impact of economic policies on financial markets. While the presidential election was close, the markets’ response was decisive: U.S. and global equity markets went on a tear as consumer and business confidence soared. This surprised many investors who believed a Trump victory would be bad for financial markets. It also caused many to question whether expectations embedded in markets were too optimistic. Sargen’s assessment is presented in the opening and concluding chapters. Front Matter ....Pages i-xix Front Matter ....Pages 1-1 Is Trump’s Election a Game-Changer? (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 3-13 Challenges to Restoring Long-Term Economic Growth (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 15-27 Front Matter ....Pages 29-29 Assessing the US Fiscal Imbalance: Why It Matters (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 31-41 What Makes Healthcare Reform So Complex: A Primer (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 43-57 Tax Policy: Tax Cuts Versus Tax Reform (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 59-76 Macroeconomic Effects of Deregulation (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 77-91 Front Matter ....Pages 93-93 Changes in US Monetary Policy: Past and Prospective (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 95-106 Trade Imbalances and Jobs: A Macro Perspective (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 107-119 Front Matter ....Pages 121-121 Globalization and Widening Income Inequality (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 123-135 Economic and Market Prospects for the Medium Term (Nicholas P. Sargen)....Pages 137-148 Back Matter ....Pages 149-156
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