ENGLISH

The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal

By James Franklin

Book information

Publisher
Johns Hopkins University Press
Year
2015
ISBN
1421418800, 9781421418803
Language
english
Format
PDF
Filesize
3 MB (3040559 bytes)
Pages
520\520
Scanned
yes
Time added
2015-06-06 12:10:43
Математика;История математики

Description

How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

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