ENGLISH

Probability as logic

By Jaynes E.T.

Book information

Year
1989
Language
english
Format
PDF
Filesize
165 kB (168825 bytes)
Pages
16\16
Library
Kolxo3
Time added
2009-07-20 03:45:11

Description

At the 1988 workshop we called attention to the \Mind Projection Fallacy which is present in all ♀elds that use probability. Here we give a more complete discussion showing why probabilities need not correspond to physical causal in uences, or propensities a♂ecting mass phenomena. Probability theory is far more useful if we recognize that probabilities express fundamentally logical inferences pertaining to individual cases. We note several examples of the di♂erence this makes in real applications.

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