Profiting in bull or bear markets

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Content: Copyright Contents Foreword Preface Acknowledgments About the Author Introduction Chapter 1 USING RISK TO MANAGE YOUR MONEY SUCCESSFULLY Games and Strategies Assessing Risk and Using It to Manage Money The Dynamics of Risk Management What's Wrong with Buy and Hold and Averaging Down? Chapter 2 ECONOMIC INDICATORS Economic Indicators Broad Measures of Economic Activity Consumer Indicators Manufacturing and Investment Indicators Construction Indicators Inflation Indicators Productivity and Profit Indicators Where to Get the Data Conclusion. Chapter 3 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN ECONOMIC INDICATORSThe Consumer Cycle Manufacturing and the Investment Cycle The Real Estate Cycle The Inflation Cycle Productivity and Profit Cycles Conclusion Chapter 4 THE COMPOSITE INDEXES OF LEADING, COINCIDENT, AND LAGGING INDICATORS Leading Indicators Coincident Indicators Lagging Indicators Other Experimental and Coincident and Leading Indicators Conclusion Chapter 5 THE BUSINESS CYCLE: A PRACTICAL USE OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS The Phases of the Business Cycle What Happens in the Phases of the Business Cycle? Investment Implications. Chapter 6 LONG-TERM ECONOMIC AND INVESTMENT TRENDSLearning from History Real Short-Term Interest Rates Assessing Changes in Long-Term Investment Trends Using Interest Rates to Assess the Risk of Foreign Investments Investment Implications Chapter 7 THE CENTRAL BANK AND YOUR INVESTMENTS The Federal Reserve System What Guides Monetary Policy? Tools of Monetary Policy Financial Cycles Assessing Monetary Policy Investment Implications Chapter 8 INFLATION AND YOUR INVESTMENTS Inflation and the Business Cycle Commodities and the Business Cycle Wages and Inflation. Currencies, Inflation, and Foreign InvestmentsInvestment Implications Chapter 9 BONDS AND BUSINESS CYCLES Bond Features Bond Yields and the Business Cycle Factors Influencing Bond Price Fluctuations The Yield Curve The Credit Cycle Forecasting Bond Yields Investment Implications Chapter 10 THE STOCK MARKET AND BUSINESS CYCLES Long-Term Stock Returns and Strategies Stock Prices and Business Cycles Assessing Stock Market Risk The Technology Dimension Investment Implications Chapter 11 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF STOCK MARKET TRENDS What Do We Mean by "the Market"? Moving Averages. Moving Averages CrossoversMomentum Indicators Using Moving Averages Market Breadth Indicators Rate of Change as Momentum Indicators Chart Patterns Trading Volume Sentiment Indicators Moving Averages Envelopes and Bollinger Bands Seasonality Dow Theory Investment Implications Chapter 12 MANAGING YOUR STOCK PORTFOLIO RISK Frame of Mind, Investment Style, and Risk Management Stock Selection: What Portfolio Would You Like to Have? When to Start Selling Portfolio Management Strategies and Stock Market Cycles Issues Chapter 13 IMPROVING SHAREHOLDER VALUE.