Land-Use Modelling in Planning Practice

Description

978-94-007-1822-7_Cover 9789400718227_Book Foreword References Preface Contents Contributors Part I Introduction 1 Introducing Land Use Scanner 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Land Use Scanner in the Context of Dutch Spatial Planning and Environmental Policy 1.2.1 Elaboration of Diverging Scenarios 1.2.2 Extrapolation of Trends 1.2.3 Optimisation of Land Use 1.3 Model Structure 1.3.2 Continuous Model 1.3.3 Discrete Model 1.4 Land Use Scanner in Practice: Implementation Issues References 2 Lumos Models from an International Perspective 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Audit Committee's Findings and Recommendations 2.2.1 Appropriateness of the Models 2.2.2 Resources 2.2.3 Use of Results 2.2.4 Communication 2.2.5 Next Steps: The Coming Years 2.3 Conclusion Reference 3 Core Principles and Concepts in Land-Use Modelling: A Literature Review 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Categorising Land-Use Simulation Models 3.2.3 Land-Use Change Concepts 3.2.4 Concepts of Land-Use Change in Practice 3.2.5 Selection of Operational Land-Use Simulation Models 3.3 Lessons from Model Validation 3.5 Conclusions and Discussion References Part II Practice 4 A Sustainable Outlook on the Future of The Netherlands 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Researching Sustainability 4.2.1 Defining Sustainability 4.2.2 Drawing Up Two Reference Scenarios 4.2.3 Interpreting Spatial Focuses 4.2.4 Comparing Focuses with the Reference Scenarios 4.2.5 Optimising Land Use in a Combination Map 4.3 Land-Use Dynamics and Their Impact 4.4 Optimising for Sustainability 4.4.1 Climate Change 4.4.2 Biodiversity 4.4.3 Accessibility 4.4.4 Quality of the Living Environment 4.4.5 International Business Establishment 4.4.6 Landscape Quality 4.5 Comparing Combination Map with Reference Scenarios 4.6 Conclusion 4.6.1 Policy Actions for the Short and Long Term 4.6.2 Merits of Land Use Scanner References 5 Coupling a Detailed Land-Use Model and a Land-Use and Transport Interaction Model 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Short Description of Tigris XL 5.3 Linking Tigris XL and Land Use Scanner 5.3.1 Overview of Differences and Overlaps 5.3.2 Set-Up of Interaction 5.3.3 Use of Land-Use Data and Restriction Maps 5.3.4 Interactions for Differing Housing Market Circumstances 5.4 A Policy Application of the Combined Framework 5.5 Conclusions and Directions for Further Research References 6 Biomass on Peat Soils? 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Method 6.3 Cost-Benefit Analysis of Biomass Production 6.4 The Purpose of the Scenario Approach 6.4.1 Reference Scenario 6.4.2 Bioenergy Feasibility Scenario 6.5 Implementation and Results 6.5.1 Suitability Maps 6.5.3 Results References 7 Simulation of Future Land Use for Developing a Regional Spatial Strategy 7.1 Introduction 7.1.1 A New Regional Spatial Strategy for the Province of Overijssel 7.1.2 Chapter Contents 7.2 Spatial Exploration: Overijssel in 2040 7.2.1 Creating a Regional Application 7.2.2 Visualising Theme-Specific Spatial Policy Alternatives 7.3 Strategic Environmental Assessment 7.3.1 Sustainability Indicators 7.3.2 Developing the Current and New Policy Alternatives 7.3.3 Assessing Environmental Impacts 7.4 Discussion and Conclusion References 8 Lessons Learned from Using Land-Use Simulation in Regional Planning 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Providing Input for Regional Strategic Visions 8.3 Exploring Spatial Planning Concepts for the Randstad Conurbation 8.3.1 Depicting Regional Planning Concepts 8.3.3 Exploring Regional Possibilities for Urban Densification and Expansion 8.5 Parallels 8.5.1 Modelling Characteristics and Main Purpose 8.5.2 Modelling Issues References Part III Future Developments 9 Explaining Land-Use Transition in a Segmented Land Market 9.1 Introduction 9.2 A New Explanatory Model for Land-Use Transitions 9.3 A Case-Study in the Province of Noord-Holland 9.3.1 Description of the Study Area 9.3.3 Selecting Model Variables 9.4 Results of the Model Parameter Estimations 9.5 Application of Model Results 9.5.1 Calculation of a Transition Probability Map 9.5.2 Relevance of Results for Land Use Scanner 9.6 Concluding Remarks References 10 A Policy Perspective of the Development of Dutch Land-Use Models 10.1 Introduction 10.3 Policy Instruments for Dutch Spatial Planning 10.4 Policy-Based Land-Use Modelling Requirements 10.5 Closing Remarks References 11 Developing a New, Market-Based Land-Use Model 11.1 Introduction 11.2 Evaluation of Land Use Scanner Applications 11.3 Requirements of the Model: Policy Questions and Indicators 11.4 Requirements of the Model: Driving Forces of Land-Use Change 11.5 Options 11.5.1 Exploring Options 11.5.2 Expanding Tigris XL 11.7 Conclusion References Index