StockTraders Almanac

Description

The 2021 Stock Trader’s Almanac is your shortcut to understanding the cycles, trends, and patterns that will define stock trading in 2021. Based on strategies that have outperformed the S&P 500 by over 325% since 2001, the Almanac offers you proven and proprietary trading strategies, including Hirsch Holdings’ “Best Six Months Switching Strategy,” the January Barometer, the Four-Year Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle, and top Sector Seasonalities. The Almanac has been trusted by Barron’s, The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and countless men and women alike since 1968. Organized in calendar format to keep you on top of upcoming opportunities you can’t afford to miss, this book will demonstrate each day why it’s relied upon by top traders, investors, and money managers. Perfect for stock trading novices, seasoned market pros, and those who have yet to dip their toe into the lucrative world of stock trading, the 2021 Stock Trader’s Almanac is your ticket to a successful 2021. COVER......Page 2 TITLE PAGE......Page 10 COPYRIGHT......Page 11 INTRODUCTION TO THE FIFTY-FOURTH EDITION......Page 12 2021 OUTLOOK......Page 15 2021 STRATEGY CALENDAR......Page 19 JANUARY ALMANAC......Page 21 JANUARY’S FIRST FIVE DAYS: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM......Page 24 THE INCREDIBLE JANUARY BAROMETER (DEVISED 1972): ONLY TEN SIGNIFICANT ERRORS IN 70 YEARS......Page 27 JANUARY BAROMETER IN GRAPHIC FORM......Page 30 DOWN JANUARYS: A REMARKABLE RECORD......Page 33 FEBRUARY ALMANAC......Page 36 MARKET BEHAVIOR UNDER NEW PRESIDENTS......Page 39 MARKET CHARTS OF POST–PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEARS......Page 42 POST-ELECTION YEAR PERFORMANCE BY PARTY......Page 45 MARCH ALMANAC......Page 48 POST-ELECTION YEARS: PAYING THE PIPER......Page 51 THE DECEMBER LOW INDICATOR: A USEFUL PROGNOSTICATING TOOL......Page 56 HOW TO TRADE BEST MONTHS SWITCHING STRATEGIES......Page 59 APRIL ALMANAC......Page 63 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1901......Page 66 S&P 500 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1930......Page 69 NASDAQ, RUSSELL 1000 & 2000 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1971......Page 72 MAY ALMANAC......Page 75 SUMMER MARKET VOLUME DOLDRUMS DRIVE WORST SIX MONTHS......Page 78 TOP PERFORMING MONTHS: STANDARD & POOR’S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS......Page 81 “BEST SIX MONTHS”: STILL AN EYE-POPPING STRATEGY......Page 84 MACD-TIMING TRIPLES “BEST SIX MONTHS” RESULTS......Page 87 JUNE ALMANAC......Page 90 TOP PERFORMING NASDAQ MONTHS......Page 93 GET MORE OUT OF NASDAQ’S “BEST EIGHT MONTHS” WITH MACD TIMING......Page 96 TRIPLE RETURNS, FEWER TRADES: BEST 6 + 4–YEAR CYCLE......Page 99 JULY ALMANAC......Page 102 FIRST MONTH OF QUARTERS IS THE MOST BULLISH......Page 105 2019 DAILY DOW POINT CHANGES (DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE)......Page 108 DON’T SELL STOCKS ON MONDAY OR FRIDAY......Page 111 AUGUST ALMANAC......Page 114 A RALLY FOR ALL SEASONS......Page 117 TAKE ADVANTAGE OF DOWN FRIDAY/ DOWN MONDAY WARNING......Page 120 MARKET FARES BETTER UNDER DEMOCRATS; DOLLAR HOLDS UP UNDER REPUBLICANS......Page 124 REPUBLICAN CONGRESS & DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT IS BEST FOR THE MARKET......Page 127 SEPTEMBER ALMANAC......Page 130 MARKET GAINS MORE ON SUPER-8 DAYS EACH MONTH THAN ON ALL 13 REMAINING DAYS COMBINED......Page 133 A CORRECTION FOR ALL SEASONS......Page 136 FIRST-TRADING-DAY-OF-THE-MONTH PHENOMENON......Page 139 OCTOBER ALMANAC......Page 142 SECTOR SEASONALITY: SELECTED PERCENTAGE PLAYS......Page 145 SECTOR INDEX SEASONALITY STRATEGY CALENDAR......Page 148 MARKET BEHAVIOR THREE DAYS BEFORE AND THREE DAYS AFTER HOLIDAYS......Page 151 NOVEMBER ALMANAC......Page 154 FOURTH-QUARTER MARKET MAGIC......Page 157 TRADING THE THANKSGIVING MARKET......Page 160 AURA OF THE TRIPLE WITCH—4TH QUARTER MOST BULLISH: DOWN WEEKS TRIGGER MORE WEAKNESS WEEK AFTER......Page 163 DECEMBER ALMANAC......Page 166 MOST OF THE SO-CALLED JANUARY EFFECT TAKES PLACE IN THE LAST HALF OF DECEMBER......Page 169 JANUARY EFFECT NOW STARTS IN MID-DECEMBER......Page 172 WALL STREET’S ONLY “FREE LUNCH” SERVED BEFORE CHRISTMAS......Page 175 IF SANTA CLAUS SHOULD FAIL TO CALL, BEARS MAY COME TO BROAD AND WALL......Page 179 2022 STRATEGY CALENDAR......Page 183 DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK......Page 185 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 187 RECENT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 189 S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 191 RECENT S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 193 NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 195 RECENT NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 197 RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 199 RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021......Page 201 DECENNIAL CYCLE: A MARKET PHENOMENON......Page 203 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION/STOCK MARKET CYCLE: THE 187-YEAR SAGA CONTINUES......Page 204 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900......Page 206 STANDARD & POOR’S 500 BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1929 NASDAQ COMPOSITE SINCE 1971......Page 207 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JANUARY AND FEBRUARY......Page 210 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MARCH AND APRIL......Page 211 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MAY AND JUNE......Page 212 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JULY AND AUGUST......Page 213 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER......Page 214 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: NOVEMBER AND DECEMBER......Page 215 A TYPICAL DAY IN THE MARKET......Page 216 THROUGH THE WEEK ON A HALF-HOURLY BASIS......Page 217 TUESDAY MOST PROFITABLE DAY OF WEEK......Page 219 NASDAQ STRONGEST LAST 3 DAYS OF WEEK......Page 220 S&P DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1952......Page 222 NASDAQ DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1971......Page 224 MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO S&P STOCKS......Page 226 MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO NASDAQ STOCKS......Page 227 NOVEMBER, DECEMBER AND JANUARY: YEAR’S BEST THREE-MONTH SPAN......Page 229 NOVEMBER THROUGH JUNE: NASDAQ’S EIGHT-MONTH RUN......Page 231 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1901......Page 232 S&P 500 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1930......Page 234 NASDAQ ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1971......Page 236 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950......Page 237 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY POINT CHANGES SINCE 1950......Page 239 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950......Page 241 STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950......Page 243 STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950......Page 246 NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1971......Page 248 NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1971......Page 250 RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979......Page 252 RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979......Page 256 10 BEST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 260 10 WORST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 262 10 BEST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 264 10 WORST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 266 10 BEST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 268 10 WORST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 270 10 BEST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 272 10 WORST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 274 10 BEST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 276 10 WORST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT......Page 278 NOTES......Page 280 PORTFOLIO AT START OF 2021......Page 281 ADDITIONAL PURCHASES......Page 283 SHORT-TERM TRANSACTIONS......Page 287 LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS......Page 288 BROKERAGE ACCOUNT DATA 2021......Page 290 WEEKLY PORTFOLIO PRICE RECORD 2021 (FIRST HALF)......Page 291 WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2021 (FIRST HALF)......Page 295 MONTHLY INDICATOR DATA 2021......Page 299 PORTFOLIO AT END OF 2021......Page 300 IF YOU DON’T PROFIT FROM YOUR INVESTMENT MISTAKES, SOMEONE ELSE WILL......Page 302 INDIVIDUAL RETIREMENT ACCOUNT (IRA): MOST AWESOME MASS INVESTMENT INCENTIVE EVER DEVISED......Page 303 G. M. LOEB’S “BATTLE PLAN” FOR INVESTMENT SURVIVAL......Page 304 G. M. LOEB’S INVESTMENT SURVIVAL CHECKLIST......Page 306 END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT......Page 313