ENGLISH

The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable

By Taleb , Nassim Nicholas

Book information

Publisher
Penguin Books Ltd
ISBN
9780141906201, 0141906200
Language
english
Format
EPUB
Filesize
6 MB (6344750 bytes)
Pages
\0
Time added
2020-07-26 19:24:52
Probability & Statistics;Uncertainty (Information

Description

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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