Population Dynamics and Projection Methods

Description

Although the human population growth rate of the world has been declining since peaking in the early 1960s, the populations of individual countries are changing at different rates. Population dynamics at national level are partly determined by levels of fertility and mortality, but the impact of international migration is playing an increasingly important role. Moreover, internal migration plays a major part in population change at the sub-national level. This fourth volume in the series “Understanding Population Trends and Processes” is a celebration of the work of Professor Philip Rees. It contains chapters by contributors who have collaborated with Phil Rees on research or consultancy projects or as postgraduate students. Several chapters demonstrate the technical nature of population projection modelling and simulation methods while others illustrate issues relating to data availability and estimation. This book demonstrates the application of theoretical and modelling methods and addresses key issues relating to contemporary demographic patterns and trends. Front Matter....Pages i-xx The Dynamics of Populations Large and Small: Processes, Models and Futures....Pages 1-28 Population Accounts....Pages 29-40 MULTIPOLES : A Revised Multiregional Model for Improved Capture of International Migration....Pages 41-60 Modelling with NEWDSS : Producing State, Regional and Local Area Population Projections for New South Wales....Pages 61-97 Relationships Between UK Sub-national Trends in Infant Mortality and Fertility....Pages 99-114 Monitoring Who Moves Where: Information Systems for Internal and International Migration....Pages 115-140 Comparing Internal Migration Between Countries Using Courgeau’s k ....Pages 141-164 Increasing Longevity and the Economic Value of Healthy Ageing and Longer Working....Pages 165-192 Spatial Microsimulation Models: A Review and a Glimpse into the Future....Pages 193-208 Tracking the Evolution of the Populations of a System of Cities....Pages 209-222 Back Matter....Pages 223-226