The Referendum that Changed a Nation: Scottish Voting Behaviour 2014–2019

Description

Drawing on data from the Scottish Referendum Study and subsequent Scottish Election Studies, this book provides the first in depth analysis of how voters engaged with the independence referendum in 2014 and what impact this has had on vote choice, polarisation and engagement in Scotland since then. The book contains eight chapters, and discusses how voters engaged with the referendum campaign, explains vote choice by examining reactions to the cues of parties, leaders and events, and compares the importance of these to calculations about risk.  Contents List of Figures List of Tables 1 Studying Referendums and Voting in Scotland Referendums in Comparative Perspective Studying Referendums in Scotland The ‘Other’ Referendum A Summary of the Book Bibliography 2 The 2014 Referendum in Scotland The Scottish Independence Campaign in Context The 2014 Campaign Context and Timeline The Long Campaign Voter Engagement with the Referendum Campaign Voter Evaluations of the Independence Campaign Voter Evaluations of the Brexit Campaign Conclusion Bibliography 3 How Voters Reacted to Campaign Cues Conditions for Cueing Party Cues Ideological Cues Cues from Politicians Media Cues The Vow Conclusion Bibliography 4 Explaining Referendum Vote Choice Community and Identity Economic and Other Calculations Who Voted Which Way? Modelling the Referendum Vote Conclusion Bibliography 5 One Earthquake or Two? The Earthquake in 2014 The Tremor in 2016? Independence, Brexit and Voting The Brexit Aftershock Conclusion Bibliography 6 Electoral Behaviour 2015–2019: The Multilevel Scottish Voter Party Preferences in Scotland The Realignment Multilevel Voting in Scotland A New Approach to Multilevel Voting Conclusion Bibliography 7 How the Referendum Changed Scotland: Engagement, Polarisation and Losers’ Consent Referendums and Engagement Affective and Cognitive Polarisation in Post-referendum Scotland Scotland’s Four Political Tribes Standing Up for Scotland Losers’ Consent Conclusion Bibliography 8 Conclusion: Now What? Appendices Appendix 1 Scottish Referendum/Election Surveys Appendix 2: Statistical Tables Supplementary Information for Statistical Modelling Political Knowledge (Chapter 6) Do People Understand What Different Levels of Government Are Responsible for? Bibliography Index