ENGLISH

Predicting the Future: Completing Models of Observed Complex Systems

Book information

Publisher
Springer-Verlag New York
Year
2013
ISBN
978-1-4614-7217-9, 978-1-4614-7218-6
DOI
10.1007/978-1-4614-7218-6
Language
english
Format
PDF
Filesize
16 MB (16395942 bytes)
Series
Understanding Complex Systems
Edition
1
Pages
238\253
Orientation
yes
Scanned
yes
Time added
2013-08-01 04:00:00

Description

Through the development of an exact path integral for use in transferring information from observations to a model of the observed system, the author provides a general framework for the discussion of model building and evaluation across disciplines. Through many illustrative examples drawn from models in neuroscience, geosciences, and nonlinear electrical circuits, the concepts are exemplified in detail. Practical numerical methods for approximate evaluations of the path integral are explored, and their use in designing experiments and determining a model’s consistency with observations is explored.

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